Predicting the Year Ahead with Cutter Consortium's Experts
We asked Cutter Consortium's experts to peer into the future to share the trends they see coming for 2010 and beyond. It's no surprise that they delivered thoughtful -- and widely varied -- responses. Their projections cover the changing role of the CIO, the future of enterprise architecture, the position of software developers globally and within the organization, agile, Web 2.0, security, and more.
Some of their predictions include:
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Steve Andriole states, "today's CIOs have largely done the heavy lifting required to resolve the misalignments of the past. So by 2015, operational technology requirements will have merged with business requirements and vice versa."
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Agilist David Spann predicts better survival rates for companies that were agile before the financial crisis; Jens Coldewey expects "a radical change in both the attitude and the reputation of programmers."
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David Coleman pinpoints intelligent aggregation as the route to success in the current Web 2.0 environment; he also predicts a shift toward lighter-weight collaboration tools that require less IT involvement.
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In Enterprise Architecture, William Ulrich predicts a move away from business processes as the primary input to SOAs. Pierfranco Ferronato points to the emergence of a central, model-based repository, "with external production systems in order to implement a 'live' EA where a change in a model can affect the business."
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In the area of security, Arun Majumdar projects growth in security auditing from multiple levels, especially in cloud computing and trusted infrastructure protection. Carl Pritchard forecasts the first serious Windows 7 security breaches bringing questions of the OS's long-term viability.
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Curt Hall predicts continued adoption of on-demand/cloud-based BI and data warehousing due to economic pressure as well as the introduction of more comprehensive on-demand/cloud-based offerings. He also foresees growing momentum for private analytic clouds.
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Scott Stribrny posits that the "U.S. software industry, in 2010, will have an eroding share of the global software market's value because of lack of the right talent within the American workforce."
Find the rest of the predictions (we're still adding new ones as they come in) at cutter.com. To schedule an interview with any of these consultants, contact Kim Leonard (+1 781 641 5111).