The Journey to Decarbonization — Opening Statement

Posted November 30, 2023 | Sustainability | Amplify
The Journey to Decarbonization
In this issue:

AMPLIFY  VOL. 36, NO. 11

The pressing need to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through decarbonization is well understood, but the world is realizing how difficult it will be for nations and corporations to deliver on their net zero objectives.

Eight years after the signing of the Paris Agreement, this year’s United Nations Climate Change Conference, better known as COP28, will tell us exactly where we are on the journey to decarbonization and where greater focus is required. Thus far, progress has been mixed, with regions and countries showing varying levels of maturity dependent on political will, investment, and the success of climate-related infrastructure rollouts.

What’s clear is that decarbonization is a multifaceted, interconnected process. It requires wide-ranging collaboration between the private and public sectors, energy companies, investors, governments, and end users (both consumers and industrial players). It must be backed by significant funding if we are to improve existing processes and accelerate the rollout of renewable power sources at scale.

Energy and utility players must lead the way in decarbonizing their operations and supporting their customers to do the same. Everyone benefits from achieving sustainability goals, and everyone has a role to play in delivering decarbonization. However, convincing corporate leaders of this and incenting them to become more sustainable can be difficult when it impacts their behaviors and routines, particularly as they grapple with an uncertain economy.

Decarbonization requires transformation and innovation. Increasing energy efficiency from end users and consumers is vital, but it’s only part of the puzzle. In addition to increased collaboration and higher funding levels, decarbonization requires innovative thinking and breakthrough technologies. The world needs deep societal transformation in the way people and organizations operate, encompassing everything from transport and energy supply to industrial production.

We must embrace new ways to monitor and mitigate hard-to-abate emissions if net zero goals are to be achieved. Investing in and developing technologies such as carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) is vital to delivering net zero objectives, as is upgrading energy grids so they can operate in a complex, fast-moving world.

The journey to decarbonization will be neither smooth nor predictable — it requires commitment from all players in the ecosystem and a continual focus on long- and short-term objectives.

In This Issue

In this issue of Amplify, we measure how far we’ve come on our decarbonization journey, look at several obstacles to progress, and present ideas for how they can be overcome.

We dive headfirst into these complex topics with our first article, which recommends focusing decarbonization efforts on urban areas. Urban infrastructures cover only about 2% of Earth’s surface, but they consume roughly 75% of the world’s resources and 70% of global primary energy while emitting 50%-60% of the world’s GHG. Ani Melkonyan-Gottschalk and Maximilian Palmié describe the role of urban transportation systems in the decarbonization process and outline a comprehensive strategy designed to increase their overall sustainability. This includes integrating mitigation and adaptation tactics into a unified strategy, prioritizing strategies that go beyond technological improvements, optimizing the performance of multimodal logistics chains by prioritizing energy-efficient modes, and investing in the public-private cooperation necessary for decarbonization to enter a deep societal transformation process.

Next, Enrique Castro-Leon advocates for using carbon offsets (COs). He acknowledges the challenges (including several accounting issues) and reminds us that the CO market is immature, making it difficult to compare offerings. Castro-Leon says IT can be leveraged to maintain real-time inventories of carbon assets and could be used to create a system designed to meet specific GHG-mitigation goals. He describes the Scalable Carbon Offset Open Platform (SCOOP) specification currently under development at OptimiLabs, which creates a digital twin that’s essentially a computer model of the physical carbon store asset. This allows CO suppliers to easily place their offsets in the carbon market of choice and demand-side entities to discharge their carbon liabilities by either paying a premium buying offsets or paying a broker to carry out a discharge on their behalf. This type of system, says Castro-Leon, establishes a formal linkage between carbon stores, carbon sources of emissions, and trading mechanisms toward global net zero goals.

Our third article examines how CCUS technologies can bridge the gap between current policies and decarbonization targets. Martin Dix and Oliver Golly say CCUS offers a range of business opportunities: capture (designing and building CO2 capture infrastructure as well as operating and maintaining these facilities), transport (via pipeline, truck, or ship), storage, usage (providing CO2 to customers instead of storing it), and CCUS as a service (managing the upstream, midstream, and downstream lifecycle). Dix and Golly detail the key players in the CCUS value chain and describe which players are well positioned to succeed at which market segment. According to Dix and Golly, “CCUS can act as a bridge to the developing hydrogen economy, reducing short-term emissions while infrastructure and capacity mature and providing a long-term solution in areas where hydrogen will not deliver effective emissions reduction.”

In our fourth piece, LEAG CEO Thorsten Kramer offers a first-person account of his company’s plan to transform from a coal-based electricity producer in eastern Germany to one of Europe’s largest providers of green energy. Kramer is honest about the Herculean effort this plan will require, particularly in light of recent fears about his country’s electricity supply. But the German government decreed that energy producers must phase out coal by the end of 2038 at the latest, and Kramer believes that: (1) green energy is the only direction worth taking and (2) if you’re going to go green you must go big. He describes the ambitious project in detail, gives us a glimpse into the changes his company is already experiencing, and previews his strategy for coping with the changes still to come.

Wrapping up this issue, Senthil Sundaramoorthy, Dipti Kamath, Sachin Nimbalkar, Christopher Price, Thomas Wenning, and Joseph Cresko from Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) examine strategies for industrial decarbonization, particularly for the six most energy-intensive industries. Almost three-quarters of all industrial GHG emissions in the US come from manufacturers, and the bulk of those come from iron and steel, chemical, food and beverage, petroleum refining, pulp and paper, and cement. Sundaramoorthy et al. assert that “Energy-efficiency improvement is a feasible, low-cost approach that, in most cases, does not require any major change to industrial processes and can bring immediate emissions reductions.” Along with statistics from the US Department of Energy (DOE) about potential emissions reductions, the authors describe how strategic energy management, system efficiency, material and lifecycle efficiency, smart manufacturing, and combined heat and power can bring both short- and long-term reductions in carbon emissions.

The articles in this issue of Amplify demonstrate the complexity of topics involved in the journey to decarbonization. They also highlight multiple approaches that can be adopted, providing business leaders with inspiration to accelerate their efforts and successfully deliver on their commitments.

About The Author
Michael Kruse
Michael Kruse is Managing Partner at Arthur D. Little (ADL), where he leads ADL’s Global Energy & Utilities practice. Mr. Kruse’s focus is on strategy, organization design of energy companies in light of the energy transition challenges, as well as project development of large-scale capital investment programs in the power sector. His recent work focuses on the future of nuclear generation, offshore wind, and corporate transformation in the… Read More
Luis del Barrio Castro
Luis del Barrio Castro is a Partner at Arthur D. Little (ADL) and leads ADL’s Energy & Utilities practice in Iberia. He has 17+ years’ experience in the energy sector and currently focuses on gas/liquefied natural gas, particularly the transition toward renewable gases, biofuels, and energy storage, along the three pillars of decarbonization, digitalization, and decentralization. Prior to ADL, Mr. del Barrio Castro held pivotal roles at… Read More
Florence Carlot
Florence Carlot is a Partner at Arthur D. Little (ADL) and leads ADL’s Energy & Utilities practice in Belgium. She is also a member of ADL‘s Strategy & Organization practice. Ms. Carlot has 18+ years’ experience in the European energy and utilities sector. She has worked with several leading energy companies and utilities all over Europe, enabling large transformation and strategic-change initiatives in the wholesale, generation, network… Read More
Oliver Golly
Oliver Golly is a Partner at Arthur D. Little (ADL) and Co-Lead of ADL’s Energy & Utilities practice in Central Europe. He has 20+ years’ experience in various executive roles within the energy industry and strategic consulting. Mr. Golly’s key areas of expertise include growth strategy, market entry, new energy solutions, sustainability and renewables strategy, hydrogen strategy, deal value creation, partnerships, M&As, innovation… Read More